LIVE · IFAE ACTIVE
BTC/USD67,342.10▲1.24%
ETH/USD3,512.45▲0.87%
ES1!5,204.75▼0.31%
NQ1!18,122.50▲0.16%
SOL/USD142.30▲2.11%
XAU/USD2,342.80▲0.40%
EUR/USD1.0842▼0.12%
XRP/USD0.5231▲3.44%
BTC/USD67,342.10▲1.24%
ETH/USD3,512.45▲0.87%
ES1!5,204.75▼0.31%
NQ1!18,122.50▲0.16%
SOL/USD142.30▲2.11%
XAU/USD2,342.80▲0.40%
EUR/USD1.0842▼0.12%
XRP/USD0.5231▲3.44%
INSTITUTIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE

Detect liquidity
before price follows.

Narion transforms raw exchange microstructure into structural market intelligence. The Institutional Flow Anticipation Engine isolates liquidity dynamics with sub-millisecond resolution — surfacing institutional positioning before price propagation occurs.

COMPOSITE SCORE — BTC/USD LIVE
87 /100
STRUCTURAL LONG BIAS
OPR
74 BULL
AVS
61 BULL
DSR
88 BULL
OBI
52 NEUT
ILV
38 BEAR
FPR
79 BULL
ENGINE LATENCY
2.1ms
↑ Optimal
ACTIVE INSTRUMENTS
48+
Cross-asset
MICROSTRUCTURE SIGNALS
6core
Proprietary
HISTORICAL DEPTH
3yr
Tick-level
SIGNAL ACCURACY (90D)
68%
↑ +2.4pp QoQ
01 — MARKET PROBLEM
§1

Price is a consequence.
Liquidity is the cause.

Conventional analysis begins where the signal has already arrived. Narion begins where institutional intent is forming.

CONVENTIONAL APPROACH
Indicators describe what has already happened

RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands — every indicator is a derivative of price, which is itself a derivative of concluded order flow. By the time a lagging signal confirms a move, institutional participants have long established and partially exited their positions.

LAGGING PRICE-DERIVED POST-PROPAGATION REACTIVE
THE NARION APPROACH
Microstructure reveals intent before price forms

Orderbook thinning, aggressor volume anomalies, depth sweep events, and flow persistence are all measurable before any price candle closes. Narion's IFAE reads these structural mechanics with sub-second resolution, producing a composite market state signal that leads price — not follows it.

LEADING MICROSTRUCTURE-NATIVE PRE-PROPAGATION STRUCTURAL
02 — IFAE SIGNAL SUITE
§2

Six proprietary signals.
One structural view.

Institutional Flow
Anticipation Engine

Each signal isolates a distinct dimension of exchange microstructure behavior. Synthesized into a composite score, they produce a real-time structural market state with directional bias and propagation confidence.

COMPOSITE NOW
87/ 100
SIGNAL BIAS
LONG
PROPAGATION PROB
73%
SIGNAL AGE
0.4sec
CODE NAME & DESCRIPTION INTENSITY VALUE STATE
OPR
Order Punch Rate
Rate of aggressive orders penetrating resting limit liquidity.
74
2.41×
BULL
AVS
Aggressor Volume Spike
Normalized deviation of aggressive trade volume from rolling baseline.
61
+3.1σ
BULL
DSR
Depth Sweep Ratio
Proportion of visible orderbook depth consumed in sweep events.
88
0.88
BULL
OBI
Orderbook Imbalance
Real-time bid/ask depth ratio across configurable price levels.
52
+0.12
NEUT
ILV
Instant Liquidity Vacuum
Detection of sudden orderbook thinning without corresponding trade activity.
38
−0.38
BEAR
FPR
Flow Persistence Ratio
Autocorrelation of directional order flow across intervals.
79
0.79
BULL
03 — INTELLIGENCE PIPELINE
§3

From raw exchange data
to structural intelligence.

01
Exchange Streams

Direct co-located feeds from tier-1 venues. Full L2 orderbook depth at every tick, zero latency normalization.

02
Microstructure Engine

Real-time computation of all six IFAE signals. Proprietary algorithms calibrated per instrument and market regime.

03
ML Inference Layer

Ensemble model trained on three years of tick-level microstructure and price propagation data across 48 instruments.

04
Structural Intelligence

Composite market state with directional bias, confidence score, propagation probability, and signal-level decomposition.

05
Terminal & API

Live dashboard for manual analysis, WebSocket and REST APIs for programmatic access, and enterprise data integration.

04 — STRUCTURAL REGIMES
§4

Four states of
institutional activity.

The IFAE continuously classifies the market into one of four structural regimes. Each regime represents a distinct phase of institutional liquidity behavior with different propagation characteristics and risk profiles.

NOISENo structural edge
PRE_LOADAccumulation forming
IGNITION_EARLYPre-propagation
IGNITION_ACTIVEActive propagation
STATE 01
NOISE
Unstructured market activity

No coherent institutional intent detectable in microstructure. Order flow is disorganized; aggressor activity is below baseline.

PROP. PROB< 35%
AVG DURATIONVariable
STATE 02
PRE_LOAD
Structural accumulation forming

Orderbook imbalance and liquidity migration indicate institutional accumulation. OBI asymmetry is rising. Depth sweep events are increasing.

PROP. PROB35–58%
AVG DURATION4–22 min
STATE 03
IGNITION_
EARLY
Pre-propagation window

OPR spikes above threshold. Flow persistence ratio confirms directional bias. Price propagation is imminent. Highest edge window.

PROP. PROB58–78%
AVG DURATION30s–4 min
STATE 04
IGNITION_
ACTIVE
Active price propagation

All six IFAE signals confirm active institutional participation. Price is propagating in alignment with microstructure direction.

PROP. PROB> 78%
AVG DURATION2–18 min
05 — RESEARCH FRAMEWORK
§5

Quantitative methodology.
Statistically validated.

The IFAE converts high-frequency orderbook microstructure into structural probability metrics using machine learning and rigorous statistical validation across three years of tick-level data.

METHOD 01
Microstructure Signal Extraction

Six proprietary features are extracted from raw L2 orderbook and trade flow data at each market event. Features are normalized using instrument-specific rolling baselines calibrated to current volatility regime. This ensures signal stationarity across market conditions.

L2 ORDERBOOK TICK-LEVEL ROLLING NORMALIZATION REGIME-CALIBRATED
METHOD 02
Gradient Boosting Propagation Model

A gradient boosting ensemble estimates the probability that current microstructure conditions lead to short-term price expansion, trained on 3 years of labeled outcomes. Features include multi-dimensional liquidity state vectors, cross-signal interaction terms, and volatility-surface context variables.

GRADIENT BOOSTING ENSEMBLE MODEL MULTI-DIMENSIONAL 3Y TRAINING DATA
METHOD 03
Statistical Validation & Edge Measurement

Model outputs are validated using conditional distribution analysis, Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE) studies, and regime-stratified accuracy metrics. Confidence curve calibration ensures that stated probability scores are well-calibrated against realized outcomes.

CONDITIONAL DISTRIBUTIONS MFE ANALYSIS REGIME STATISTICS PROBABILITY CALIBRATION
VALIDATION METRICS
DIRECTIONAL ACCURACY (90D)
68%
Across all 6 signals, all instruments
BRIER SCORE
0.19
Probability calibration quality (lower = better)
MFE RATIO (IGNITION_ACTIVE)
3.4×
Favorable vs adverse excursion in active regime
TRAINING SAMPLE DEPTH
3yr
Tick-level labeled microstructure events
INSTRUMENTS VALIDATED
48+
Cross-asset: crypto, equity futures, FX, commodities
06 — PLATFORM
§5

Two interfaces.
One intelligence layer.

LIVE INTELLIGENCE
Live Terminal

Monitor real-time structural market states with millisecond resolution. Track composite scores, individual signal levels, propagation confidence, and regime classification across all covered instruments.

Open Terminal →
LIVE SIGNAL FEED STREAMING
14:22:08BTCOPRBULL87% conf
14:22:05ETHDSRBEAR61% conf
14:21:58BTCFPRBULL79% conf
14:21:44SOLILVBEAR54% conf
14:21:31NQAVSBULL71% conf
HISTORICAL RESEARCH
Research Analytics

Explore three years of signal history. Analyze propagation probabilities, signal accuracy rates, cross-instrument correlation, and regime-specific performance. Backtest structural hypotheses against tick-level microstructure data.

Open Research →
SIGNAL ACCURACY — DIRECTIONAL (90D)
OPR
72%LONG
FPR
68%LONG
DSR
65%LONG
AVS
63%SHORT
OBI
61%LONG
ILV
58%SHORT
07 — ACCESS TIERS
§6

Calibrated access
for every mandate.

FREE
$0
No card required
  • Confidence Curve (delayed 15min)
  • Recent Signal Summary
  • Research Preview
  • Market State Overview
Get Started
PRO+
$149
per month, billed monthly
  • Everything in Pro
  • REST Automation API
  • Live State WebSocket endpoint
  • Signal history — 3 years
  • Webhook push alerts
Subscribe
INSTITUTIONAL
Custom
Annual contract
  • High-throughput API — enterprise SLA
  • SSO & enterprise audit logging
  • Custom instrument coverage
  • Dedicated technical support
  • Co-location data delivery
Contact Us
08 — EARLY RESEARCH ACCESS
§7

Limited access.
Founder pricing.

NOW OPEN — PHASE ONE
Join the first cohort
of research accounts.

Narion is opening a limited early research access program for a select group of quantitative traders and market microstructure researchers. This phase provides full platform access with direct feedback participation during active development.

  • Full access to the Live Intelligence Terminal — real-time IFAE signals
  • Full Research Analytics Dashboard — 3-year historical depth
  • Priority feedback channel with direct access to research team
  • Founders pricing — up to 50% lifetime discount on all tiers
  • Early access to automation APIs and programmatic endpoints
Request Early Access access@narionresearch.com
30 RESEARCH ACCOUNTS REMAINING IN PHASE ONE
ACCESS TYPEFull Platform
DISCOUNTUp to 50% Lifetime
FEEDBACK PRIORITYDirect Channel
API ACCESSEarly Preview
PHASEOne — Active